WAPR

The regulator already tracks the fuel — as NOx. Reported tonnes are fuel burned × emission factor, filed under penalty. Year-over-year NOx at a site with no permit change is "did the generators run." The emissions table holds the current year only and overwrites itself; this record began 2026-09-14.

• — of the register's projects trace to a permit, filing, or transcript. Nothing publishes below that gate.
• The "3× generator-to-grid ratio for AI campuses" is refuted — JLARC 1.0–1.25×, AWS New Carlisle and Microsoft Fairwater ~1.07×. The only ~3× cases are prime turbines at off-grid sites.

Jul–Dec 2019 vs 2025. 15 of 18 other PJM sub-regions flat or negative — a built-in placebo set.

• Not weather-normalised. 3 a.m. load on a 26 °C night exceeds a 14 °C night, and Jul–Dec 2025 was warmer in the mid-Atlantic.
• Control pool is contaminated. AEP and DAY are both Ohio and both treated; the flattest remaining controls carry behind-meter solar and manufacturing decline, which pushes the null down and inflates the effect.
• Two six-month windows cannot test parallel trends. Dominion was already PJM's fastest-growing zone before 2019.
• Not yet anchored. Dominion publishes contracted data-centre load in its IRP. Until this is within ~20% of that figure, the instrument is unvalidated.

57% of approved load has never appeared. Phantom demand — the same project shopped across utilities — quantified from the operator's own figures. Grid planners cannot currently separate real from speculative.

• Latent partition. A 300 MW evaporatively cooled site rejects ~120 kg/s as latent heat — no surface temperature, thermodynamically invisible to a radiometer.
• Roof decoupling. R-30+ insulation passes 3–15 W/m², 1–2% of the 650 W/m² rejected. Most of the polygon is blind to whether the servers are on.
• Emissivity. Cooling gear is finned aluminium, LWIR ε 0.05–0.30. It reflects cold sky; a 50 °C coil bank can read at or below adjacent asphalt — the sign is not guaranteed.
• Systematic offset. Per-campus control mismatch is ±0.5–1.5 K and does not shrink with sample size — comparable to the whole-parcel signal.
• ECOSTRESS on Earth Engine holds only the LA metro. A bounds filter over Ashburn returns an empty collection with no error — indistinguishable from total cloud.
• 52°N–52°S coverage. Dublin, Amsterdam and the Nordic belt have no free night-thermal option.

Still worth measuring: within-site change over time. Differencing a site against itself cancels the offset, and the waste-heat quadrant — night-positive, day-neutral — is discriminating. The off-site claim is bounded at 0.079 K; the on-site change is not.

• Whitespace W/sq ft spans 100–600 (legacy colo to AI halls). σ(ln) = 0.545 — the single dominant term, larger than every other combined.
• Aggregation does not rescue it. W/sq ft, PUE and utilisation are one shared assumption applied to every facility — systematic, not independent. The national total is still ×/÷3.3.
• Floor area exists for 246 buildings in one county — ~2% of a 10,000-facility inventory. The rest is imputed from operator and metro at ×/÷5–10.
• Attribution. Building-versus-campus assignment alone contributes σ(ln) = 0.200.

A facility estimated at 30 MW has a 95% interval of 8 to 118 MW. Published only as a screening bound with the interval attached — never as a point estimate, never without this list beside it.